Nigeria’s inflation moderates to 17.01%

Nigeria’s headline inflation moderated for the fifth consecutive month to 17.01% year -on-year in August 2021 (July: 17.38% y/y),according to National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) .


However, by month-on-month basis, headline inflation increased by 9bps to 1.02%.

Also, food inflation sustained its deceleration for the fifth consecutive month as well  declining by 73bps to 20.30% year on year in August 2021 (July: 21.03% y/y).


According to data from NBS the highest price increases were recorded in Bread and cereals, Milk, cheese and egg, Oils and fats, Potatoes, yam and other tubers, Food products, Meat and Coffee, tea and cocoa.


Nevertheless, on a month-on-month basis, food inflation increased by 1.06% in August (July: 0.86%).

Similarly, core inflation slowed by 31bps to 13.41% year on-year (July: 13.72% y/y).Reacting to the development,experts at Codros Capita Limited said pressures were most significant in the prices of Shoes and other footwear, Household textile, Motor cars, Garments, Game of chance, Major household appliances whether electrical or not.


Going further,they pointed out that also included are Hospital services, Catering services, Appliances, articles and products for personal care and Clothing materials, other articles of clothing and clothing accessories. Compared to the previous month, the core index declined by 54bps to 0.77% m/m in August.


On the issue of headline inflation,they noted that the  outturn is 6bps higher than Cordros’ estimate (16.95% y/y) and in line with Bloomberg’s median consensus estimate (17.00% y/y).

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